Election polling errors across time and space

Lies, Damn Lies, and Pre–Election Polling

In this paper we ask the question: how well do pre–election polls forecast the actual results of elections in the U.S.? 1 The question is interesting for a number of reasons. First, even polling data suggests about 1/3 of polling respondents do not believe that polls work in " the best interests of the general public. " 2 The situation is such that even many national governments have undertaken...

Remapping time across space.

Multiple lines of evidence indicate that visual attention's temporal properties differ between the left and right visual fields (LVF and RVF). Notably, recent electroencephalograph recordings indicate that event-related potentials peak earlier for LVF than for RVF targets on bilateral-stream rapid serial visual presentation (RSVP) identification tasks. Might this hastened neural response render...

Polling and Prediction in the 2016 Presidential Election

Donald Trump was elected president of the United States on 8 November 2016. Within hours, TV pundits were declaring, “Data is dead.” Is this a case of water everywhere but not a drop to drink? It appears so on the surface. More than 250 nationally representative voter-preference surveys were done after the Republicans selected Trump for president and Mike Pence for vice president and the Democr...

Tuple Space Coordination Across Space & Time

CAST is a coordination model designed to support interactions among agents executing on hosts that make up a mobile ad hoc network (MANET). From an application programmer’s point of view, CAST makes it possible for operations to be executed at arbitrary locations in space, at prescribed times which may be in the future, and on remote hosts even when no end-to-end connected route exists between ...

Punishment and Crime Across Space and Time